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FLIGHT
INTERNATIONAL
19-25 JANUARY 2016
NEEDING A LIFT
WHY BOEING HAS
BIGGER WORRIES
THAN END OF C-17
REPORT P19
NUMBERS GAME
We look beyond the sales
figures to weigh up how
big two fared in airliner
orders battle last year
11
BACK TO BASICS
Alarming report from US
authorities reveals many
pilots need to improve
manual flying skills
13
ANALYSIS
SPOTLIGHT
ON SAFETY
How 2015 was a record-breaker,
and what we learned from tragedy
£3.60
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770015 371280
THE DESTINATION
FOR THE AIRCRAFT INTERIORS INDUSTRY.
Aircraft Interiors Expo 2016
5-7 April 2016, Hamburg Messe, Germany
The global market leader for the world’s aircraft interiors industry. Aircraft Interiors
Expo is the launch pad for cabin programmes showcasing tomorrow’s designs,
in-flight entertainment, connectivity and passenger services.
Register online for your FREE place today
www.aircraftinteriorsexpo.com
Organised by:
In-corporation with:
Supported by:
Supported by:
NOW
Register
FLIGHT
INTERNATIONAL
19-25 January 2016
Volume 189
number 5521
news
FLIGHT
INTERNATIONAL
19-25 JANUARY 2016
NEEDING A LIFT
WHY BOEING HAS
BIGGER WORRIES
THAN END OF C-17
REPORT P19
NUMBERS GAME
We look beyond the sales
figures to weigh up how
big two fared in airliner
orders battle last year
11
BACK TO BASICS
Alarming report from US
authorities reveals many
pilots need to improve
manual flying skills
13
6
7
8
ANALYSIS
How 2015 was a record-breaker,
and what we learned from tragedy
Imaginechina/reX/Shutterstock
SPOTLIGHT
ON SAFETY
9
this week
russia objects to mH17 conclusions
Zodiac’s star wanes at ‘patient’ Airbus.
boeing in it for long-haul as rival wins orders battle
Take-off incidents face AAIb scrutiny.
Germany swoops for Heron TP
F-35 schedule faces extra pressure.
Five-year high for embraer as deliveries stay strong
news foCus
11
boeing edges single-aisle deliveries
air transport
12
Instructor faulted for poor airmanship.
nose-to-tail examination for cyber security threats.
AirAsia X switches to A330neo
13
Pilots lack manual flying skills: report.
refurbished 767s boost WestJet’s big ambitions
15
Safety audit rules rile Kazakh carrier.
Frigate ecojet developers shortlist production
sites
defenCe
16
Super Hornet extends anti-ship trials.
Saab, Finmeccanica set to collaborate on Gripen
17
Saudi deal enhances romeo’s allure.
Indonesia signs up for KFX fighter collaboration
18
Tokyo’s Hawkeyes to be adapted for extended watch
news analysis
19
boeing faces military orders tussle
Business aviation
20
Gama snaps up Jersey FbO.
Jota boosts fleet with rJ85 purchase
general aviation
21
Flytenow may fight latest legal setback.
Corrosion safety warning for bell 429 tail rotor link
oBituary
35
André Turcat, Concorde’s first pilot
£3.60
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CoVer image
The crash of TransAsia
Airways flight 235 was the
worst single loss included
in our annual safety review
for 2015: 43 people died in
the ATR 72-600
P22
FIN_190116_301.indd 1
14/01/2016 09:58
Ecojet developers peruse list of production sites
P15
Cover story
22 aviation safety 2015 – the facts
While
aviation disasters will always loom large in the
public’s imagination, the truth is that last year
continued a trend towards fewer and fewer
accidents and greater passenger safety. Our
safety analysis of the events of last year includes
a comprehensive listing of known significant
incidents compiled in association with
Flightglobal’s advisory service Ascend
BeHiND THe HeaDliNeS
Our expert reporting team of
Murdo Morrison
(left) and
David Kaminski-Morrow
were
in
Paris,
as
Airbus
released a
bumper set of results for its
commercial aircraft
unit. We
look at the company’s
key
programmes,
and ambitions
for the year ahead (P7)
regulars
5
33
37
40
43
Comment
Straight & level
Classified
Jobs
working week
NexT week
SuPerSoNiCS
Forty years after we hitched a
ride on Concorde’s inaugural
flight, could supersonic travel
be set for a near-term revival?
Howard Library/reX/Shutterstock
FAA to “dissect” passenger jet to study cyber security
P12.
Saudi Arabia orders anti-submarine Seahawks
P17
Download the Military Simulator
Census online now.
CAE offers training centres, training services, and simulation products for trainer and fighter aircraft.
www.flightglobal.com/milisim
flightglobal.com
19-25 January 2016
|
Flight International
|
3
AirTeamImages, uS navy
rosavia
contents
iMAGe of
the week
KLM’s regional Cityhopper
operation is firming options
on a pair of Embraer 175s.
The Brazilian airframer says
the agreement follows a
previous 17-unit order for the
type, plus up to 17 more.
Featuring a single-class
layout, deliveries of the new
twinjets will start in March,
says the Dutch carrier
View more great aviation shots
online and in our weekly tablet
edition:
flightglobal.com/
flight-international
the week in nuMBeRs
Alcoa forecasts strong 2016 global aerospace aluminium
sales growth on “robust demand” for commercial aircraft
8-9%
Question of the week
Last week, we asked:
Should aviation do more to reduce its
environmental impact?
You said:
Alcoa
27%
Customers
$108
m
500
must demand
a greener
future
totAl
votes:
No, current
initiatives
are
adequate
29%
Flightglobal dashboard
Cost to Japan’s All Nippon Airways of an 8.8% stake in
Vietnam Airlines; the pair hope to grow regional air traffic
696
Yes, it
needs to
invest
massively
This week, we ask:
When will Airbus or Boeing first deliver 1,000
aircraft in a year?
❑
Before 2020
❑
In the 2020s
❑
Can’t see it happening
Vote at
flightglobal.com
44%
Flightglobal dashboard
Number of aircraft held by Bohai Leasing, after the Hong
Kong Aviation Capital parent’s $7.6bn acquisition of Avolon
Flightglobal’s premium news and data service delivers breaking air transport stories with
profiles, schedules, and fleet, financial and traffic information
flightglobal.com/dashboard
Download the
the latest Commercial Engines Report
Download
new Commercial Engines Directory
now with enhanced data and in-depth market analysis
now with further enhanced data and in-depth market analysis
Download The Engine Directory.
flightglobal.com/ComEngDirectory
flightglobal.com/commengines
CFM 2015 strip ad.indd 1
|
19-25 January 2016
4
|
Flight International
flightglobal.com/commengines13
10/06/2015 13:06
flightglobal.com
Flight_CFM_25x180.indd 1
19/07/2012 17:51
Embraer
comment
Chain reaction
Could supplier glitches prove a bigger headache for aircraft manufacturers than the worry of
demand falling away as they prepare to accelerate production towards the end of the decade?
here are jitters on the Chinese stock market and
worries about many emerging economies, but John
Leahy has a view on the orders bubble: there simply
isn’t one. At the Airbus annual press conference in
Paris on 12 January, the airframer’s top salesman again
dismissed suggestions that the industry is ramping up
output just when unprecedented demand is about to
topple over the precipice.
Assuming the appetite for air travel slackens, Leahy
contends, Toulouse is sitting on a backlog of almost
6,800 and simply needs to go on taking one order for
every aircraft it builds to maintain its production plans
into the next decade – in 2015 that ratio was 1.6.
However, even if the ever-upbeat sales supremo is
right about the strength of the marketplace, Airbus –
and its rival Boeing – could yet come unstuck at the
other end of the equation. To meet their ambitious
ramp-up plans, both airframers depend not only on a
growing world economy, but on global supply chains
delivering highly-engineered components and sub-
systems to increasingly just-in-time schedules.
T
We’ll be keeping an eye on you
Too much demand is better
than too little, but for suppliers
could prove no less stressful
Airbus’s experience with the A350 last year proves
just how vulnerable the airframers are to a weak link in
that chain. The new widebody was certificated almost
exactly when Toulouse promised it would be – a re-
markable achievement considering the shambles of the
A380 programme less than a decade earlier. But the
first year of production proved trickier. Leahy’s boss
Fabrice Brégier was unusually candid in naming and
shaming interiors provider Zodiac at the press
conference, pinning the blame on the French company
for Airbus falling one short of its target of 15 A350 de-
liveries last year. He accused Zodiac management of
being “in denial” about the supply problems and said
Airbus had deselected the company from its A330neo
programme.
Harsh words indeed, and doubtless enough to spark
a culture change at Airbus’s hapless supplier. And,
while missing an annual delivery target by one aircraft
hardly amounts to a crisis, Brégier promised a new
“watchtower” approach to any impending slippages.
Suppliers the world over – particularly on the A320neo
and Boeing 737 Max, which face the steepest ramp-ups
– may now well be looking at their processes ahead of
what will an extremely challenging period.
Too much demand might be a nicer problem than
too little. But for the airframers and their supply
chains, making good their promises over the next five
to 10 years could prove no less stressful.
■
See Air Transport P7, News Focus P11
Under pressure
W
hile their colleagues in the commercial sector
face the challenge of ensuring that production
rates can keep pace with record-breaking demand, the
folks at Boeing Defense & Space must be wishing for a
similar set of problems.
Instead, the military unit has a worse headache: how
to ensure the survival of its remaining activities. After a
manufacturing run for the US Air Force and a host of
international customers, its final C-17 transport left
Long Beach, California late last year, marking an end to
more than 70 years of activity at the historic site.
Teamed with Lockheed Martin, Boeing had expected
to secure the USAF’s long-range strike bomber deal late
last year. Now it must hope the Government Account-
ability Office can find fault with Northrop Grumman’s
selection if it is to benefit from the $80 billion project.
But worse things could happen. Failure to win more
orders for its aged F-15 and younger F/A-18E/F Super
Hornet would make it harder for Boeing to pursue
“sixth-generation” fighter opportunities with the USAF
and US Navy, where it lags behind F-35 manufacturer
Lockheed. And defeat in the USAF’s lucrative T-X train-
er competition could see it exit that market altogether.
Not buying a Boeing tanker was a step too far for the
US Department of Defense – but to sustain its other mili-
tary segments the company will have to unveil winning
designs if it is to continue its 100-year heritage in style.
■
See News Analysis P19
19-25 January 2016
|
Flight International
|
5
Stay on top of the latest news
and analysis of the commercial
aviation sector, by going to:
flightglobal.com/dashboard
flightglobal.com
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