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Architecture’s New Age
PLUS:
Joan Smalls & Lil Buck in WSJ. Magazine
EUROPE EDITION
VOL. XXXII NO. 197
FRIDAY - SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 7 - 9, 2014
$1.75 (C/V)
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KES 250
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WSJ.com
A Look Into the Past for Children in Berlin
B
Y
M
ATTHEW
K
ARNITSCHNIG
Tax Leak Puts
EU’s Juncker
IntheHotSeat
took over Europe’s top office
and threaten to cast a shadow
over his campaign to move
the 28-member European
Union beyond the political
and economic travails that
have hobbled it in recent
years. All of the tax deals de-
scribed in the documents,
which run until 2010, were
granted during Mr. Juncker’s
time as Luxembourg’s leader.
“I expect Mr. Juncker, who
served for 20 years as Luxem-
bourg’s prime minister and fi-
nance minister, to provide de-
tails of how Luxembourg’s tax
authorities operate,” Carsten
Schneider, a senior member of
Germany’s Social Democrats,
said during a heated parlia-
mentary debate on Thursday.
The main question Mr.
Juncker faces in the short
term is how he can demand
continued belt tightening in
countries such as Greece and
Portugal, when his own coun-
try is helping companies
avoid paying taxes across Eu-
rope. Even as much of Europe
has been stuck in an economic
funk, Luxembourg has pros-
pered.
The corporate tax breaks,
which are confidential under
Luxembourg law, allowed the
country, which has a popula-
tion of just 550,000, to build a
strong financial sector. Finan-
cial services account for more
than 35% of Luxembourg’s
economic output. The corpo-
rate tax sector, which includes
big accounting firms such as
PricewaterhouseCoopers
and
dozens of law offices, pro-
vides thousands of jobs to the
Luxembourg economy and has
helped make the country one
of the world’s richest on a per
capita basis.
As Luxembourg’s prime
minister, Mr. Juncker was a
strong defender of his coun-
Please turn to page 19
Reuters
As Germany prepares for Sunday’s 25th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall, children peek
through a hole in the last remnant of the barrier, which serves as a memorial.
Articles 10-11,13 & 27
European
Commission
President
Jean-Claude
Juncker was thrust to the
center of a global debate on
corporate tax havens follow-
ing the release of thousands
of secret documents detailing
how Luxembourg, the country
he led for nearly 20 years as
prime minister, helped com-
panies avoid paying taxes.
The documents, disclosed
by the Washington-based In-
ternational Consortium of In-
vestigative Journalists on
Thursday, provide fresh detail
on how hundreds of the
world’s biggest companies, in-
cluding PepsiCo Inc., FedEx
Corp. and Amazon.com Inc.,
have funneled profit through
subsidiaries in Luxembourg,
avoiding billions in taxes in
other jurisdictions.
The revelations come less
than a week after Mr. Juncker
OPEC Is Concerned, but
Not Panicky on Oil Drop
VIENNA—As oil prices slid
further Thursday, OPEC sig-
naled that it isn’t ready to hit
the panic button—yet.
By
Benoît Faucon,
Summer Said
and
Mercedes Alvaro
Oil’s more-than-25% de-
cline since the summer has
led to speculation that the Or-
ganization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries—whose
crude accounts for about a
third of global oil supply—
would cut its output to try to
support prices, especially as
some of the group’s members
grow fearful of the likely hit
to their government budgets.
At a news conference in
Vienna on Thursday, OPEC
Secretary-General Abdalla Sa-
lem el-Badri said the group is
“concerned, but we are not
panicking.” Mr. el-Badri
blamed market speculators
for the sharp oil-price drop,
saying “fundamentals don’t
deserve this price decline.”
Both major crude bench-
marks fell Thursday. But the
OPEC statements were over-
shadowed by reports that Lib-
yan officials said they expect
production at its biggest field,
El Sharara, to restart soon,
recovering quickly from a
rebel attack the day before.
The Brent crude futures
contract, the international
benchmark, fell 9 cents to
$82.86 a barrel, while the U.S.
benchmark fell 77 cents to
$77.91 a barrel.
Inside
ECB Pulls Together
On Possible Stimulus
B
Y
B
RIAN
B
LACKSTONE
FRANKFURT—The Euro-
pean Central Bank sent a
strong signal Thursday that it
is prepared to act more ag-
gressively to combat ultralow
inflation by buying large
amounts of private-sector
debt and perhaps even gov-
ernment bonds.
The central bank’s policy
makers are unanimous in their
readiness to back more stimu-
lus if needed, ECB President
Mario Draghi said at his
monthly news conference. He
added that officials all expect
the central bank’s balance
sheet—the amount of assets it
holds—to rise toward early
2012 levels, implying an in-
crease of up to €1 trillion
($1.24 trillion).
Following Mr. Draghi’s’ re-
Analysts and brokers said
the market appeared to be
taking a wait-and-see ap-
proach to the OPEC com-
ments, reserving judgment
until the group’s Nov. 27
meeting in Vienna to see if
the organization takes any of-
ficial action to reduce output
and shore up prices.
“I certainly think they’ll
say something,” said Kyle
Cooper, managing partner of
research consultancy IAF Ad-
visors in Houston. “What kind
of real action they’ll take re-
mains to be seen.”
Despite Mr. el-Badri’s com-
ments, some within OPEC al-
ready are thinking about the
oil-price level at which the
group will be forced to re-
Please turn to page 16
Frugal France: Towns
struggle to make do
with less
Europe News............ 5
Going for a song?
Qatari bid for control
of Canary Wharf
Business................. 18
Tricks for teaching
children to clean up
Personal Journal... 25
marks, the euro fell to a two-
year low and European stocks
surged. Expansionary central
bank measures, which typi-
cally lead to higher inflation,
tend to weaken a currency
while brightening the pros-
pects for businesses and con-
sumers.
Mr. Draghi has made simi-
lar comments of his own ac-
cord on the balance sheet,
but its inclusion in the intro-
ductory statement to the
news conference means the
entire 24-member Governing
Council approved it. In a sign
of the bank’s unity, Bundes-
bank
President
Jens
Weidmann—a harsh critic at
times of ECB policies—played
Please turn to page 5
 Euro drops to two-year low
on ECB news............................. 22
2
| Friday - Sunday, November 7 - 9, 2014
AM
IM
UK
SW FR
IT SP
TK BR
PL
IS
AE
GR
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
PAGE TWO
What’s News—
Business & Finance
n
Adidas’s net profit fell
11%
in the third quarter as the com-
pany cited negative currency
effects, a continuing slide in
sales at its golf division and
higher marketing costs.
15
n
Commerzbank said
net
profit tripled to nearly $281
million in the third quarter,
helped by a drop in provi-
sions for bad loans and an in-
crease in revenue.
22
n
Standard Chartered’s
chair-
man said the bank is too bu-
reaucratic and has been slow
to adapt to changes in the in-
dustry, even as he sought to
convince managers that recent
stumbles are far from fatal.
19
n
The big pay rise
Helge Lund is
getting to move to BG Group as
CEO is raising worries among
corporate governance experts
and investors over rising execu-
tive compensation in Europe.
16
n
Siemens said
it would sell
its hearing-aid business to pri-
vate-equity firm EQT and
Santo Holding, an investment
vehicle, for $2.68 billion.
15
n
China’s Bright Food Group
said it is on the hunt for more
international deals, and it
plans IPOs for Weetabix and
Manassen Foods.
17
n
Air-bag maker Takata
took
$25.3 million in new recall-re-
lated charges, widening a pro-
jected full-year net loss.
15
i
i
i
World-Wide
n
Migrants leaping fences
in
two Spanish enclaves in Mo-
rocco are being deported by po-
lice without the opportunity to
appeal, in violation of EU law.
4
n
Obama secretly wrote
Iran’s
supreme leader last month and
described a shared interest in
fighting Islamic State militants
in Iraq and Syria.
9
n
U.S. prosecutors have
launched a money-laundering
investigation of a member of
Putin’s inner circle, escalating
pressure on the Russian presi-
dent’s billionaire supporters.
4
n
Libya’s Supreme Court
ruled the nation’s isolated but
internationally recognized par-
liament is unconstitutional.
9
n
An annual U.S. visa lottery
drew more than 11 million appli-
cants, though lawmakers look
poised to end the program.
7
n
The U.S. House speaker
put
the onus on Obama to work
with Republicans, especially
on immigration.
6
n
The effort to detect
Ebola
more quickly has been taken up
by companies, government agen-
cies and nonprofits to improve
the response to the outbreak.
18
n
Pakistan plans
to sign deals
worth billions of dollars with
China for development of infra-
structure and energy projects
during Sharif’s visit to Beijing.
8
i
i
i
Europe’sRecoveryRecedes
AmidDivisionsonSolutions
[ Brussels Beat ]
B
Y
S
TEPHEN
F
IDLER
Where is the
robust eurozone
economic recovery
that has been just
around the corner
for the last couple
of years? The answer, according to
the economic forecasts released
this week by the European
Commission, appears to be
somewhere around the corner.
Confirmation of the ever-
receding recovery came in the
sharp downgrading of growth and
inflation expectations for this year
and next. The upturn that seemed
under way in the spring has
faltered.
In its report accompanying the
forecasts, the commission, the
European Union’s executive arm,
admitted that it was “becoming
harder to see the dent in the
recovery as the result of
temporary factors only.”
Another round of downgraded
forecasts made for an inauspicious
start for the new commission of
Jean-Claude Juncker, which took
office this week.
“This risks being a long
tunnel,” said Michel Sapin, the
French finance minister, before a
meeting with his eurozone
counterparts Thursday.
It is already a long tunnel. The
commission report piles on the
gloom, noting that the period of
weak growth is already in its
seventh year. “As many of the
factors behind the weak
recovery…are expected to diminish
only very gradually, a continuation
of protracted low growth is
expected over the forecast
horizon,” it said.
It also ventures that there may
be something peculiar to the
eurozone that is delaying the
typical pattern of recovery after a
deep monetary and financial crisis.
Possible explanations could
include the precrisis weakness of
European economies, the policy
response to the financial crisis,
the legacy of the sovereign-debt
crisis and the incomplete state of
monetary union in Europe.
Nonetheless, Mr. Sapin claimed,
“we have a good understanding of
the situation. We have a good
diagnosis.”
But, in fact, it isn’t at all clear
that there is a shared diagnosis of
what is holding back the bloc. At
the very least agreement is lacking
on what the priorities are.
The analysis from Paris—
backed by the Italian
government—emphasizes the lack
of demand in Europe. According to
this view, you can implement all
the supply-side reforms you want,
but you won’t succeed in reviving
an economy suffering a chronic
lack of demand. Boosting demand
requires giving governments more
leeway, where feasible, to borrow
cheaply.
Germany, the eurozone’s
dominant economy, takes a view
that is almost the opposite. It
argues that the solution lies in
countries becoming more
competitive by delivering further
supply-side reforms of labor and
product markets and believes that
Reuters
Demonstrators protesting government austerity cuts in Brussels on Thursday.
issuing more debt isn’t the way to
resolve a debt crisis.
Jeroen Dijsselbloem, the Dutch
finance minister who is usually in
Berlin’s camp, said Thursday that
politicians always want to go for
the “easy routes”of monetary
policy and public spending, rather
than necessary supply-side
reforms. But he did say there was
room in the budget of at least one
country—Germany—to increase
public investment. “And I hope
that they will use it.”
Trouble is Germany is
committed to balancing its budget
next year. Finance Minister
Wolfgang Schäuble did say
Thursday that Berlin was indeed
open to expanding public
investment, by €10 billion ($12.5
billion) from 2016 to 2018.
That seems unlikely to move
the needle much, even in Germany
let alone across the eurozone.
So can Brussels help? Mr.
Juncker is a man with a plan: to
galvanize some €300 billion in
investments in infrastructure and
possibly in small and medium-size
enterprises, over three or so years.
Details of the program, which
will be announced in December,
have yet to be fleshed out. But at
this point its main vehicle seems
to be the European Investment
Bank, the EU’s own project-lending
institution, which will get a capital
boost.
The current state of the capital
markets should allow the EIB to
borrow long term at low interest
rates to finance investment
profitably. The question is
whether a sufficient number of
realistic projects can be identified
and managed for that money to be
spent in a relatively short space of
time.
Given the minimal impact of
previous “growth and jobs”
initiatives that have been cooked
up in Brussels, Mr. Juncker’s plan
has a hill of skepticism to climb.
All of which places more
responsibility for the recovery on
the shoulders of the European
Central Bank. Its president, Mario
Draghi, assured financial markets
Thursday that the bank would
inject funds into the eurozone
economy sufficient to expand its
balance sheet to the size it was
back in early 2012.
The central bank may thus help
the economy avoid the worst.
However, it seems unlikely on its
own to spur a return to strong
growth.
One small silver lining in the
cloud of gloom, one commission
official said this week, is that the
dire outlook may encourage
governments to back policy action
to spur the economy.
Yet weak as the eurozone
economy is, we may not be at that
point yet. For governments to
move, “the sense of urgency has to
become a lot stronger,” said Mr.
Dijsselbloem. Small wonder
economic optimism in Brussels is
scarce these days.
—Gabriele Steinhauser
contributed to this article
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Friday - Sunday, November 7 - 9, 2014 |
3
EUROPE NEWS
EU Seeks Deal on U.K., Dutch Payments
B
Y
L
AURENCE
N
ORMAN
BRUSSELS—The European Union
appeared headed for a compromise
that would give the U.K. and the
Netherlands more time to pay extra
EU budget bills.
The details of an agreement were
still far from resolved, but the Euro-
pean Commission proposed to mem-
ber states Thursday that payments
could be made in installments
through mid-2015, according to two
people briefed on the discussions.
The bloc’s finance ministers will
discuss the issue at a meeting in
Brussels on Friday. Several of the
ministers said Thursday a compro-
mise deal is likely.
U.K. Prime Minister David Cam-
eron reacted angrily last month af-
ter being confronted with a huge
new bill for EU membership and said
he wouldn’t pay the full amount by
the Dec. 1 deadline.
One U.K. official said Thursday
an installment plan might be “help-
ful” but the bill is still too large. The
official said U.K. ministers still
aren’t clear how it was calculated.
While some other EU countries
were also being hit by the one-time
agreed EU legislation that governs
budget payments. That requires ap-
proval by the European Parliament
and the European Commission.
“I understand the solution that is
brewing right now is a bigger deal
linking, on one level, some flexibility
in the schedule of payments if they
are particularly large” with a solu-
tion for “the looming liquidity crisis
for the EU budget,” Polish Finance
Minister Mateusz Szczurek told re-
porters.
Irish Finance Minister Michael
Noonan said his government has “no
objection” to giving the U.K. an extra
year to make the payments. French
Finance Minister Michel Sapin said
the rules should be applied with ap-
propriate “flexibility.”
The U.K. and Dutch payments
won’t go into Brussels coffers but
will be passed on to other EU gov-
ernments whose economic output
estimates weren’t revised sharply
higher. That means any delay in the
payments will push back the time
when other governments can use the
money for their budget plans.
EU officials said a compromise
deal needs to come in the next 10
days if the U.K. is to avoid penalty
David Cameron speaking in the House of Commons, in London, on Wednesday.
charges, Britain is getting the big-
gest bill: an additional €2.1 billion
($2.6 billion) or almost a fifth of its
annual payment to the EU budget.
The demands come amid growing
anti-EU sentiment across much of
Europe. Some U.K. politicians on the
right have become increasingly vocal
about frustrations with EU policies
such as immigration, as well as the
cost of membership.
The Netherlands’ extra bill totals
€643 million. Italy and Greece were
among others asked to give addi-
tional money. The new bills were a
result of an upward recalculation
over a number of years of the size of
these economies.
Any delay in payments will al-
most certainly require changing the
fines by the start of next month. Fri-
day’s finance ministers meeting is
likely to produce a political deal to
ask the European Commission to
present a formal compromise pro-
posal at the start of next week, offi-
cials said.
Still, an agreement remains com-
plicated because the budget-bill is-
sue has become wrapped up with
other discussions, officials say.
One is the European Parliament’s
demand to raise the EU budget ceil-
ing for 2014 by more than €4 billion
and to have extra money from mem-
ber states to spend in 2015.
The 2014 money would go to
paying unpaid EU bills and it would
be paid for mainly by EU antitrust
and other fines that would normally
go back to member-state coffers.
However that means a double
cost for countries like France and
Germany, which wouldn’t get all the
U.K. and Dutch Dec. 1 payments or a
windfall from billions of euros of EU
fines. That will likely require some
kind of sweetener.
—Matthew Dalton in Brussels,
and Nicholas Winning
and Jason Douglas in London
contributed to this article.
Press Association
4
| Friday - Sunday, November 7 - 9, 2014
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
EUROPE NEWS
Spain Tries Deporting
Would-Be Immigrants
B
Y
D
AVID
R
OMÁN
MELILLA, Spain—For nearly a
decade, Spain has counted on tall
border fences to discourage mi-
grants from crossing illegally from
Morocco into two small Spanish en-
claves on Africa’s Mediterranean
coast.
But as growing numbers of Afri-
cans scale the barriers, Spanish offi-
cials have adopted a different strat-
egy, one that appears to challenge
European Union law: Police are de-
porting some fence jumpers as they
drop into the enclaves.
EU law bars summary deporta-
tions and requires members to allow
anyone who steps foot on their terri-
tory to apply for political asylum.
Spain is trying to finesse that re-
quirement by declaring a “security
perimeter” on the Spanish side of
the border fences. It is no longer
enough, it says, to clamber up the
fences and tumble onto Spanish soil
to be assured of an asylum hearing.
Instead, it claims, migrants de-
tained in this zone can immediately
be sent back to Morocco without a
hearing. Authorities have proposed
an amendment to Spain’s national-
security law that would retroactively
legalize this practice, which border
police say has become routine.
The shift is part of a hardening
stance against illegal immigration by
Southern European countries as
mounting turmoil from Syria to
Libya and violence and oppression in
Africa uproot and drive thousands of
people toward the Continent. It re-
flects a preference by some Euro-
pean governments to assert national
control over regional bodies on con-
tentious matters of migration policy.
Greece has drawn criticism from
EU officials for building a 6-mile-
long fence along its land border with
Turkey to keep out migrants. Nils
Muiznieks, commissioner for human
rights at the Council of Europe, the
Continent’s leading human-rights or-
ganization, said Italy, Greece and
Bulgaria have violated EU law by re-
cently pushing back migrants, an al-
legation Athens denies. Italian and
Bulgarian officials didn’t respond to
requests to comment.
Spain, Mr. Muiznieks added, is
the only European country attempt-
ing to legalize the practice.
In the U.S., border agents some-
times informally encourage immi-
grants to turn around when they en-
counter them at the border—an
alternative to the more common
procedure of detention and initiat-
ing deportation proceedings.
Under U.S. law, any person ap-
prehended at the border who isn’t
legally allowed entry into the U.S.
can be deported by the U.S. Depart-
ment of Homeland Security without
an appearance before an immigra-
tion judge or the opportunity to re-
tain legal counsel. Only a well-
founded fear of political or religious
persecution can avert immediate de-
portation.
Spanish officials say they are
fighting a rising tide of migrants
who are being funneled toward their
North African enclaves by trafficking
organizations wary of riskier cross-
ings of the Mediterranean Sea. The
enclaves, Ceuta and Melilla, make
Spain the only European country
whose territory has a land border
with the African continent.
In the first nine months of this
year, more than 5,000 people fleeing
African countries have journeyed to
Morocco, dodged police there, and
scaled three parallel rows of fences
to reach the two enclaves, according
to the office of the United Nations
High Commissioner for Refugees.
That is double the number who
had entered the enclaves illegally in
the year-earlier period.
Groups of up to 300 migrants
have stormed the border at once,
some using rock-climbing hooks to
scale the tallest fences, which are 20
feet. In videos released by Spanish
police, some fence jumpers shout
that they are infected with Ebola
and spit at officers in an effort to
avoid detention.
Few migrants reaching the en-
claves gain asylum, but even most of
those who fail are allowed to remain
there or move to the European
mainland, since few African coun-
tries have repatriation treaties with
Spain.
“The way this works, you spend
some time here, and then they let
you go to Europe,” said Abu Bakr, a
20-year-old migrant from Guinea
who jumped the fence into Melilla
two months ago.
Abdelmalik El Barkani, the head
of Melilla’s local government, said
the influx had become intolerable.
“We can’t resign ourselves to an im-
migration system that works along
these lines,” he said.
Under the proposed amendment,
police who detain fence jumpers
within a “security perimeter” inside
the enclaves would have a right to
send them back to Morocco. The
proposal doesn’t specify the width.
African migrants are taken down from a border fence by Spanish Civil Guard
officers during an attempt to cross into Spain’s enclave of Melilla last month.
Speaking in the Spanish parlia-
ment last month, Interior Minister
Jorge Fernández Díaz said the
amendment was necessary to pro-
tect officers from possible legal ac-
tion by critics of their border en-
forcement methods.
Spain’s ruling Popular Party has
enough votes to get the amendment
approved, but the Council of Europe
and the U.N. refugee agency say it
would violate international law.
Money-Laundering Probe Touches Putin Inner Circle
B
Y
C
HRISTOPHER
M
.
M
ATTHEWS
A
ND
A
NDREW
G
ROSSMAN
U.S. prosecutors have launched a
money-laundering investigation of a
member of Vladimir Putin’s inner cir-
cle, several people familiar with the
efforts said, in a politically sensitive
escalation of pressure on the Russian
president’s cadre of billionaire sup-
porters.
The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the
Eastern District of New York, aided
by the Justice Department, is investi-
gating whether Gennady Timchenko
transferred funds linked to allegedly
corrupt deals in Russia through the
U.S. financial system, the people said.
The prosecutors are probing
transactions in which the Geneva-
based commodities firm Mr. Tim-
chenko co-founded,
Gunvor Group,
purchased oil from Russia’s OAO Ros-
neft and later sold it to third parties,
one of the people familiar with the
matter said. Investigators have in re-
cent months requested information
about the prices Gunvor charged, the
person said.
The transactions predate the fi-
nancial sanctions leveled by the U.S.
on Mr. Timchenko and other Putin al-
lies in March in the wake of Russia’s
intervention in Ukraine. But transfers
of funds related to the transactions
could constitute illegal money laun-
dering if the funds were found to
have originated from illicit activity
such as, for example, irregular sales
of state assets like oil.
Mr. Timchenko and Rosneft de-
clined to comment.
Gunvor said it hadn’t been noti-
fied of any investigation involving
the company itself and couldn’t com-
ment about Mr. Timchenko, who sold
his stake in the firm just before the
U.S. sanctions were announced. Gun-
vor, one of the world’s largest trading
companies, said it hadn’t purchased
crude oil from Rosneft in more than
two years. The company denies any
wrongdoing regarding the Rosneft
tenders.
The effort is related to a wider
push by U.S. prosecutors to go after
the proceeds of foreign corruption
under the Kleptocracy Asset Recov-
ery Initiative, two people familiar
with the matter said.
The initiative, announced in 2010,
has targeted allegedly corrupt offi-
cials in Africa and the Middle East,
but this appears to be the first-
known probe involving Russia since
the country’s relations with the West
deteriorated over the Ukraine crisis.
The U.S. Attorney’s Office in
Brooklyn and the Justice Department
declined to comment.
The probe is also examining
whether any of Mr. Putin’s personal
wealth is connected to allegedly illicit
funds, one person said. U.S. officials
have previously said that Mr. Putin
has investments in Gunvor.
Mr. Putin’s spokesman, Dmitry
Peskov, said: “We’re not aware of any
investigation, and we’re not follow-
ing such things.” He dismissed alle-
gations of any financial or business
ties between Messrs. Putin and Tim-
chenko, including any investment in
Gunvor, as “nonsense.”
Mr. Putin has confirmed knowing
Mr. Timchenko since the early 1990s,
but denied playing any role in his
business success.
Mr. Timchenko has long played
down his relationship with Mr. Putin
and has flatly denied that he has per-
sonally benefited from it.
“I’m a businessman, not a politi-
cian,” he said in a 2008 interview
with The Wall Street Journal, attrib-
uting Gunvor’s success to its ability
to transport oil on time and on bud-
get. “Our advantage is clearly logis-
tics.”
Mr. Timchenko, who has both
Russian and Finnish citizenship, is a
former Soviet trade official. He and
Mr. Putin met in St. Petersburg,
where Mr. Putin was a local official,
and joined the same judo club, to
which they still belong.
Mr. Timchenko was a quick con-
vert to capitalism and by the early
2000s had established himself as
successful trader of Russian oil. As
Mr. Putin rose to power, Mr. Tim-
chenko’s wealth exploded.
By 2008, Gunvor was shipping 16
times as much Russian crude as it
did in 2002 and the firm had become
the No. 4 independent trader behind
Glencore International AG, Vitol
Group and Trafigura Beheer BV. In
September, Gunvor reported $45 bil-
lion in revenue for the first six
months of 2014.
Russian opposition leaders have
accused Mr. Timchenko of leveraging
his relationship with Mr. Putin to
purchase Russian oil and gas at bar-
gain-rate prices.
Cables from the U.S. Department
of State in 2008, later released by
WikiLeaks, relayed allegations that
Gunvor is the mandatory trader for
certain oil exports, and that the firm
adds $1 to each barrel. “In a competi-
tive market, by contrast, an oil trader
might add anywhere from five to 20
cents ‘maximum’ to the price,” they
said. One cable relayed allegations
that Gunvor “is just a front for ‘mas-
sive corruption.’ ”
Company spokesman Seth Pietras
said all of Gunvor’s activities “are in
line with international standards for
financial crime risk, including anti-
Gennady Timchenko leaving an
economic forum in Russia in May.
money laundering, economic sanc-
tions, counter-terrorist financing,
and anti-bribery and anti-corrup-
tion.”
Mr. Timchenko was among the
first Russian businessmen to be sanc-
tioned by the U.S. following Russia’s
intervention in Ukraine’s Crimea re-
gion. The Treasury Department’s Of-
fice of Foreign Assets Control singled
him out as a member of “the Russian
leadership’s inner circle” and said
Mr. Putin had a stake in Gunvor and
“may have access” to its funds.
Under the sanctions, Mr. Tim-
chenko is banned from traveling to
the U.S., and his assets in the U.S. are
subject to a freeze. After the sanc-
tions were imposed, Mr. Timchenko
said he had sold his stake in Gunvor,
which is privately held, to his partner
the day before. The firm itself wasn't
blacklisted.
Mr. Pietras said Mr. Timchenko
was “only ever a shareholder in Gun-
vor” and never a member of manage-
ment or on the board.
“When it comes to President Pu-
tin, he does not and never has had
any ownership, beneficial or other-
wise in Gunvor,” he said.
Forbes puts Mr. Timchenko’s per-
sonal wealth at more than $13 billion.
Through another entity, the Luxem-
bourg-based
Volga Group,
he con-
trols shipping, railway and port in-
terests as well as two luxury hotels in
France.
—Gregory L. White
and Philip Shishkin
contributed to this article.
Bloomberg News
Reuters
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Friday - Sunday, November 7 - 9, 2014 |
5
EUROPE NEWS
French Towns Struggle to Do With Less
B
Y
W
ILLIAM
H
OROBIN
SAINT-DENIS, France—In this
town in the former industrial heart-
land outside Paris, Mayor Didier
Paillard is straining to deal with the
new French reality of austerity.
Until now, cash transfers from
the French state made it relatively
straightforward for mayors like Mr.
Paillard to build, staff and maintain
child-care centers, sports facilities
and medical clinics.
But halfway through François
Hollande’s five-year term, the so-
cialist President is upending the
model by slashing financial support
for towns and regions by €11 billion
($13.8 billion) in the next three
years in an effort to cut the budget
deficit.
In Saint-Denis, one of France’s
poorest towns, Mr. Paillard is
scrambling to adjust to the shortfall.
With little room for maneuver on
operating costs, he says he will have
to pare investment vital to support-
ing local jobs and business.
“We are looking at all the sav-
ings we can possibly make, but we
are already stripped to the bone,”
Mr. Paillard said.
The mayor’s alarm call is echoing
across France. If the government
pushes ahead, investment from local
authorities—which accounts for
around 70% of total public invest-
ment—will drop around 10% next
year after a 6% fall in 2014, the na-
tional association of mayors says.
In a country where public spend-
ing makes up over 56% of the econ-
omy, such a decline is set to wield a
Slimming Down
French government’s planned
transfers to regional and local
authorities, in billions
€56.86
53.20
49.53
45.86
2014
2015
2016
2017
Source: France’s 2015 budget bill
The Wall Street Journal
French Interior Minister Bernard Cazeneuve, right, tours Saint-Denis with its mayor, Didier Paillard, left, earlier this year.
blow to jobs and growth, businesses
warn. Public-infrastructure compa-
nies alone will shed 60,000 jobs be-
tween now and 2017, according to
estimates by France’s federation of
public works.
The stakes are high for Mr. Hol-
lande, who went on national televi-
sion Thursday night to discuss his
record. He has repeatedly failed to
deliver on promises to bring down
unemployment, which has surpassed
10% during his presidency and con-
tinues to rise. Recent forecasts show
the French economy is already vul-
nerable to cutbacks: the European
Union expects barely any French
economic growth this year and only
0.7% next year.
In the interview on French tele-
vision channel TF1, Mr. Hollande
said it wouldn’t be credible for him
to stand for re-election if he didn’t
manage to bring unemployment
down by 2017.
“French people would be merci-
less, and rightfully,” Mr. Hollande
said. He pledged to use the remain-
ing two and half years to continue
pushing through overhauls of fi-
nances and the economy.
The spending cuts for local au-
thorities mark a shift in policy for
Mr. Hollande, who came to power in
2012 promising to fight back against
German-inspired austerity in the eu-
rozone. While other countries im-
plemented deep spending cuts to re-
pair their finances, Mr. Hollande
instead raised taxes sharply in the
summer of 2012 in a bid to pay
down the deficit while maintaining
the generosity of the French state.
The change of tack comes as Mr.
Hollande acknowledged the policy
had reached a limit. The socialist
leader is also under pressure from
the EU to bring down the budget
deficit after France repeatedly failed
to meet fiscal targets. The govern-
ment says the depth of cuts strikes
the right balance between the de-
mands of Brussels and the need to
sustain economic growth.
But local leaders such as Mr.
Paillard warn Mr. Hollande’s bet on
spending cuts won’t pay off.
Saint-Denis, a town of about
109,000 people with a poverty rate
estimated at 35%, will get around
€20 million to €22 million less from
the state in the next three years—
the equivalent of a new school.
Mr. Paillard has asked his teams
to come up with ideas for spending
cuts by the end of the year. He is
considering raising the price of
school lunches, an unpopular move
in a town with 22% unemployment.
“This is in no way a virtuous cir-
cle,” he said. “Bleeding us with aus-
terity isn’t the right remedy.”
Mr. Hollande argues that his
switch to spending cuts will help
businesses recover. By cutting
spending, he says he will be able to
bring down the budget deficit and
cut taxes for business, which will
spur job creation and investment in
the private sector.
But Saint-Denis’ entrepreneurs
are already feeling the pinch. Phil-
ippe Servalli, who runs Saint-Denis
Construction—which specializes in
renovating and building day care
centers and gymnasiums—says his
order backlog is evaporating. As
companies chase a smaller number
of contracts, prices have fallen
around 20%.
Unable to hold on for rosier
times, he has cut his staff to 70
from around 100 last year and plans
to bring the number down to 55 by
the end of the year. “It is like riding
a bike: if you stop pedaling, you
fall,” Mr. Servalli said.
Continued from first page
a central role in crafting that lan-
guage, according to a person famil-
iar with the matter.
The ECB left its main rate—the
rate that it charges commercial
banks on its regular loans—at a re-
cord low 0.05% as expected.
However, Mr. Draghi said ECB
staff and committees have been
asked to ensure “the timely prepara-
tion of further measures to be im-
plemented, if needed.” He added
that ECB staff and committees have
a proven record of delivering what
they have been asked to do, an indi-
cation that the ECB is prepared to
act on their recommendations if
necessary.
“They’re closer to new action,”
said Carsten Brzeski, economist at
ING Bank. But new stimulus as soon
as December isn’t assured, he said.
For that to happen, inflation would
need to show further signs of weak-
ening and ECB officials would need
to be convinced that recently ap-
proved measures, including bank
loans and purchases of covered
bonds and asset backed securities,
won’t suffice.
The bar still appears high for
Germany’s central bank president to
approve additional easing despite
the unanimous statement. Mr.
Weidmann doesn’t see the balance-
sheet statement as an explicit target,
rather it is an expectation, according
to the person familiar with the mat-
ter.
Mr. Weidmann is open to new
steps, the person said, but this
would require a significant erosion
in the economic and inflation out-
look.
The ECB has so far held off on
large-scale purchases of public-sec-
tor assets known as quantitative
ECB Signals Readiness to Act
easing that have been a bedrock of
monetary policy responses to the fi-
nancial crises in the U.S., U.K. and
Japan.
The Federal Reserve recently
halted QE purchases amid firmer
economic activity and higher infla-
tion than in the eurozone. Mean-
while the Bank of Japan last week
expanded its asset-buying program
by up to one-third, with additional
purchases of government bonds,
stocks and real-estate funds.
Agence France-Presse/Getty Images
ECB officials spent considerable
time discussing the experience of
other central banks, and the lessons
to be drawn from them for Europe,
Mr. Draghi said. Buying government
bonds is an option for the ECB, too,
he said, provided that such a policy
doesn’t finance European govern-
ments. The ECB could avoid this re-
striction by buying the bonds in the
financial markets.
“It is now a matter of when
rather than if” the ECB buys public
debt securities, said Jennifer McKe-
own, economist at consultancy Capi-
tal Economics.
The Organization for Economic
Cooperation and Development, a
Paris-based research group that in-
cludes developed and large develop-
ing countries, said Thursday that the
ECB should launch an expanded pro-
gram of asset purchases starting
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Bank chief Mario Draghi
said policy makers are
unanimous in their
readiness to back more
stimulus if needed.
with private-debt securities and per-
haps eventually government bonds.
In October, the ECB started pur-
chasing covered bank bonds under a
program approved in September. It
has said it would also start buying
asset-backed securities later this
month. But many analysts doubt
these will be sufficient to raise the
money supply as much as needed,
given the size of these markets.
Mr. Draghi said policy makers
“will continuously assess the appro-
priateness of its stance,” and re-
peated that the Governing Council is
unanimous in its readiness to take
further unconventional measures
should the outlook for inflation de-
teriorate.
Annual eurozone inflation was
0.4% last month, far below the ECB’s
target of just below 2%.
Mr. Draghi repeatedly presented
ECB officials as being united to
stimulate the economy and boost in-
flation.
His statement in September that
the ECB wanted to increase the size
of its balance sheet toward
early-2012 levels frustrated some of
his colleagues who hadn’t agreed to
such a specific target. Some mem-
bers also felt the September plan to
purchase covered bonds and asset-
backed securities, which was ap-
proved by a wide margin, was put
together haphazardly without
enough preparatory work.
“It is fairly normal to disagree, it
happens everywhere,” Mr. Draghi
said, citing central banks in the U.S.,
U.K. and Japan as examples.
“There is going to be a variety of
people involved in these discus-
sions” about additional easing op-
tions, Mr. Draghi said.
—Todd Buell and Paul Hannon
contributed to this article.
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